Saturday, July 25, 2026

BX to IPO Jersey Mike's Subs


The Blackstone Group plans to cash in on a portion of its Jersey Mike's Subs holdings.  The slow fill of IPO information continued with a S-1A filing on July 20.  Blackstone filed for the IPO just eighteen months after acquiring Jersey Mike's.
On January 16, 2025, we were acquired by the Buyer (as defined herein) as a new portfolio investment for a purchase price of $6.3 billion.
A number of blanks remain in the filing but a few noteworthy bits are below:

First, Jersey Mike's purchased a private jet and gave it to the company's founder, the man who sold that majority stake to Blackstone in January 2025.
....$41 million in 2024 for cash outlays associated with the purchase of an aircraft on behalf of our Founder that was transferred to our Founder in connection with the Sponsor Acquisition
Second, the company paid "member distributions" of $30 million and $468 million (with the latter amount debt financed).  Debt financed dividends to sponsor have been called a "liquidity recapitalization." Apparently that term is no longer in use.

Third, Jersey Mike's Subs will be on the hook for $2 billion to pre-IPO owners: 
Prior to the completion of this offering, Jersey Mike’s Subs Inc. will enter into a tax receivable agreement with certain of the pre-IPO owners that provides for the payment by Jersey Mike’s Subs Inc. to such pre-IPO owners of 90% of certain tax benefits, if any, that Jersey Mike’s Subs Inc. actually realizes, or is deemed to realize (calculated using certain assumptions), as a result of (i) Jersey Mike’s Subs Inc.’s allocable share of existing tax basis in certain Jersey Mike’s Holdings’ assets acquired in this offering, (ii) increases in Jersey Mike’s Subs Inc.’s allocable share of existing tax basis and tax basis adjustments to certain tangible and intangible assets of Jersey Mike’s Holdings as a result of sales or exchanges of Common Units (including Common Units issued upon conversion of vested Incentive Units), (iii) Jersey Mike’s Subs Inc.’s utilization of certain tax attributes (including any existing tax basis) of certain entities that are taxable as corporations for U.S. federal income tax purposes through which the Pre-IPO Stockholders hold their interests in Jersey Mike’s Holdings prior to the Offering Transactions (the “Blocker Companies”), which Jersey Mike’s Subs Inc. acquires in connection with this offering as described under “Organizational Structure—Blocker Transfers,” and (iv) certain other tax benefits related to entering into the tax receivable agreement, including tax benefits attributable to payments under the tax receivable agreement. This payment obligation is an obligation of Jersey Mike’s Subs Inc. and not of Jersey Mike’s Holdings. The term of the tax receivable agreement will continue until all such tax benefits have been utilized or expired... 
@$23.00 per share of Class A common stock (the midpoint of the estimated price range set forth on the cover page of this prospectus), we estimate that we would, as a result of the Reorganization Transactions, the Offering Transactions and such hypothetical exchange, record a deferred tax asset of approximately $503 million and that the aggregate non-current liability we would record based on our estimate of the aggregate amount that Jersey Mike’s Subs Inc. would pay under the tax receivable agreement is approximately $2,084 million.

Fourth, the private equity stake held by BX will remain under its current partnership structure as Blackstone will retain 75% ownership in Jersey Mike's.

Our post-offering organizational structure, as described above, is commonly referred to as an umbrella partnership-C-corporation (“UP-C”) structure. This organizational structure will allow the Continuing Unitholders to retain their equity ownership in Jersey Mike’s Holdings, an entity that is classified as a partnership for U.S. federal income tax purposes, in the form of Common Units. Investors in this offering and the Pre-IPO Stockholders will, by contrast, hold their equity ownership in Jersey Mike’s Subs Inc., a Delaware corporation that is a domestic corporation for U.S. federal income tax purposes, in the form of shares of Class A common stock. We believe that the Continuing Unitholders generally find it advantageous to continue to hold their equity interests in an entity that is not taxable as a corporation for U.S. federal income tax purposes.

Fifth, our neighbors across the pond will have a chance to buy-in to the IPO.

Sixth, Blackstone will steer some of the IPO business to its securities affiliate.

...certain affiliates of Blackstone Securities Partners L.P., an underwriter in this offering, (i) own in excess of 10% of our issued and outstanding common stock and (ii) will receive proceeds from the sale of shares of Class A common stock in this offering by the selling stockholders and will receive at least 5% of the net proceeds of this offering, Blackstone Securities Partners L.P. is deemed to have a “conflict of interest” under Rule
It gives real meaning to my pet term "private equity underwriter," abbreviated as PEU.

Seventh, the company's trade name comprises $5.7 billion of its current $8.2 billion in assets.  Stockholder's equity is $5.8 billion, roughly the same amount as its trade name.

Eighth, the law firm advising Jersey Mike's has partners with Blackstone investments.

An investment vehicle comprised of selected partners of Simpson Thacher & Bartlett LLP, members of their families, related persons, and others owns an interest representing less than 1% of the capital commitments of certain investment funds affiliated with Blackstone.

Should one wish to participate in Jersey Mike's IPO please consider taking a small stake, similar to the micro-bite Blackstone co-founder Stephen Schwartzman took of a Jersey Mike's sub in his PEU promotional video.

Everything seems to be going Stephen's Way.

Sunday, July 19, 2026

Carlyle Vice Chair Wants Trump II to Badly Hurt Iran Economically


Carlyle Group Vice Chair James Stavridis recommended the U.S. military go hard after Iran economically.  He did so two times this weekend on CNN.  

Yesterday, Michael Smerconish interviewed the Admiral while this morning Jake Tapper did likewise.  Smerconish never mention Stavridis' Carlyle ties but they did run a banner with that information.  Tapper disclosed the Admiral's Vice Chair role in his guest introduction.

The Carlyle Group is a politically connected private equity underwriter (PEU).  


Neither CNN host noted Stavridis past statements regarding PEU interest in Iran's economy.  

Israeli Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu will be in Washington, D.C. tomorrow to attend Senator Lindsey Graham's funeral.  I's sure the Admiral's recommendation would be endorsed by Bibi.

Trump nears his "bomb them back to the stone age" moment that ended up being a disaster for Afghanistan and Iraq.  Trump II is five months into his five week war.  

Politicians Red & Blue love PEU and their new TechGod brethren.  Increasingly, more are one.

Update 7-25-26:  Stavridis supports Trump II;s deal sharing nuclear technology with Saudi Arabia,

Friday, July 17, 2026

Fat Cat Seats for FIFA World Cup Final


White House Press Secretary Karoline Levitt said Trump II would attend the World Cup final on Sunday.  He has a suite of $TRUMP whales to visit.  They are the $TRUMP Champions of the $TRUMP Coin Club.

NYPO reported that FIFA has been sued for dangling seats that had already been earmarked for the wealthy and well connected.  


Nineteen of those will be hanging out in a suite on Level 3 with "some of the best views of the game."

One need only pay for access, be it the White House or FIFA.  Who will award the $TRUMP Champion Pieces of Eight Prize?  

Thursday, July 16, 2026

Market Movers Earn Advanced Information Fees: Trump II White House Communications Edition


Jesse
wrote:

Trump speaks (nonsense) on national TV tonight. 

Here is a surprising bit of news. 

Trump Media to sell 'faster millisecond access' branded 'Truth API' to Trump's Truth Social posts starting August 1, letting traders, hedge funds, and high-frequency trading firms pay for real-time millisecond access to Trump's Truth Social posts where he often breaks government news that can move markets. 

Brazenly selling privileged access to government information for the purposes of trading the financial markets? I still find this hard to believe. 

Risks are abounding.

Ticker symbol DJT's 8-k filed with the SEC states:

Trump Media and Technology Group Launches Truth API, a New Licensed Data Service for Financial Services Partners That Provides the Fastest Access to Truth Social's Most Influential Accounts 

TMTG's first data-licensing product creates a new long-term recurring revenue stream for the company

SARASOTA, Fla., July 16, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) today announced Truth API, a new business-to-business data feed that provides licensed, real-time access to posts from the highest-ranking Truth Social accounts. TMTG anticipates that Truth API will be available to institutional customers beginning August 1, 2026. The company has already signed up customers ahead of the launch and is onboarding additional partners in the weeks ahead. 

Until now, no official, integrated API has existed, and firms that prioritize tracking influential Truth posts have relied on manual monitoring. Truth API closes the gap for organizations that place a premium on immediate, verified access to information. 

“Markets already move on Truth Social posts,” said Kevin McGurn, Interim Chief Executive Officer of TMTG. “Truth API delivers a direct, licensed, real-time feed of the platform’s most market-moving Truths while advancing our strategy to monetize proprietary assets through a high-margin, recurring revenue stream. As adoption grows, we expect Truth API to become a meaningful, ongoing source of revenue for the company, creating lasting value for shareholders.” 

Truth API is designed for organizations most impacted by the cost of a delay in information. This includes high-frequency and algorithmic trading firms that require a low-latency, machine-readable feed rather than manual tracking. 

Truth API uses familiar, industry-standard delivery methods to deliver Truth Social posts to our customers in milliseconds. It is expected to provide continuous 24/7 coverage and includes a historical archive of posts dating back to 2022. 

Organizations interested in licensing the new service can reach TMTG's Truth Social Data Licensing team at licensing@tmediatech.com.

BBC reported:

US President Donald Trump currently has the most followers on the platform.

And those Trump II jack-wads will front run anything.   

Deal makers earn deal fees.

The Trump family loves recurring fees from insider deals enabled by "the Boss."

The Ginshu knife carving Trump's Presidential stuff from his myriads of money sucking methods has bloodied White House ethics.  Presidential announcements are now for sale, early access please.

Update 7-18-26:  Reuters reported:

Donald Trump's social media company has discussed charging traders and ‌investors as much as $100,000 a month ‌for faster access to the U.S. president's posts ​on his Truth Social platform, the Financial Times reported on Friday.
TPM reported:

“When you don’t have enforcement of the rules and regulations, when there are different legal outcomes for the president than there would be for any other market actor that acted this egregiously,” Corey Frayer, former senior advisor at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, told TPM, “it becomes hard to hold anyone accountable.” 
Truth API risks further harming small investors while providing the most benefit to the most wealthy and well-connected, Granville Martin, a corporate attorney and former general counsel at the Society for Corporate Governance, told TPM. 
“This idea is so corrosive to capital formation because it is institutionalizing rich, corrupt access to material information,” said Martin.
It's the crony capitalism of Trump II, PEUs and TechGods.

Update 7-20-26:  Even the White House teleprompter operator got in on the grift.

More Youngkin Red Cell, Please


Red Cell Partners website could not get enough Youngkin.  Former Carlyle Group co-CEO and Virginia Governor joined Red Cell as Chairman, Partner and Board Member.  

Former Trump I Pentagon Chief Mark Esper enlisted with Red Cell in 2022.  Red Cell has a number of General/Admiral types as operating executives/advisors.

Red Cell is big into AI of all stripes, cybersecurity, intelligence, defense and healthcare, i.e. anywhere Uncle Sam spends a lot of money.  


Politicians Red & Blue love PEU (private equity underwriters like Youngkin) and their new TechGod brethren.  Increasingly, more are one (like Governor Youngkin).

Red Cell kicked off its Youngkin-palooza.  I hope it doesn't cause a hemorrhage in the federal budget given Glenn's historical skill at tapping that at Carlyle.  

TRUMP "Base Metal" Dollar with Gold Coloring Coming this Fall


U.S. Treasury Chief Scott Bessent posted via social media:

“As America commemorates 250 years of independence, the U.S. Mint will begin striking this new $1 gold coin to honor the enduring legacy of liberty and a lasting symbol of patriotism."
It seems Treasury decided against a previous coin option, the what I call the "Dammit, I'm Eighty" version.  That draft design had his hands in a "walker ready" position.


Governments are now giving us the goldless gold coin.  

It's from the usurper of liberty and owner of  a plush patriotism coat gifted from a 19th Century Danish Emperor.   

Keep your eyes peeled for the special mushroom shaped button just below the waist.  

I'll venture Polymarket and Kalshi are taking wagers on the date Trump II will wear his new clothes.  It may be during a prime time Oval Office address.  For their safety, keep your kids in another room during his fireside rants.

Wednesday, July 15, 2026

Andreessen Co-Chairs Fed Taskforce


Andreessen Horowitz' decision to open a Washington, D.C. office has paid dividends as founder Marc Andreessen is now advising both the Federal Reserve Bank and the Pentagon.  

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has answered a number of questions about the failure of Silicon Valley Bank in today's Congressional testimony.

Andreessen's fintech Synapse tried to gain business from SVB's failure in March 2023.


Synapse itself failed in April 2024.  


So why would the new Fed Chair want the advice of an architect of a financial debacle that impacted people who'd been told their accounts had bank backing?  I have no idea.


Synapse paid a $1 penalty for all the concern and trauma it inflicted on its customers.
When Synapse Financial Technologies, Inc. collapsed in April 2024, more than 100,000 people lost access to over $265 million held across several fintech platforms.

Andreessen did nothing to make Synapse customers whole, at least that's AI's version of events.


TechGods started the bank run that led to SVB's collapse (Peter Thiel), tried to take advantage of its failure (Marc Andreessen) and now have the "next version" via Erebor Bank (Palmer Luckey).


The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau ponied up $46.5 million to make Synapse customers whole.  And how did Mr. Andreessen accept responsibility?  He didn't.


Anything Andreessen says should be taken with a shaker-full of salt.  

The Federal Reserve should take this dreadful collapse as a harbinger of the future given responsible parties have not been held accountable and are rejiggering the system once again for their obscene profit.