Monday, January 14, 2019

Fed Chair Jay Powell Interviewed by PEU Boss


The interview can be seen on CNBC.  Fed Chair Jay Powell worked for President George H. W. Bush's Treasury Department and at The Carlyle Group for eight years.

The interview mentions another former Carlyle PEU now at the Federal Reserve Bank, Randall Quarles.  Quarles worked for President George W. Bush's Treasury Department overseeing all the stuff that blew up in the Fall 2008 financial crisis.

Carlyle is renowned for its political connections and the Fed is no exception.  What might the Fed do should leveraged loans fail on a widespread basis?  Mr. Rubenstein did not ask that question.

Update 5-19-20:  Wall Street on Parade picked up on the Carlyle connection to the top two Fed chiefs.

Sunday, January 13, 2019

Davos 2019 Looms


Western greed and excess are symbolized by the annual gathering of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.  The WEF catered to the billionaire class and coddled private equity founders as their outsized influence displaced the basic needs of common citizens.  What does the WEF have in store for 2019?  It's globalization 4.0

To draft a blueprint for a shared global-governance architecture, we must avoid becoming mired in the current moment of crisis management.

Specifically, this task will require two things of the international community: wider engagement and heightened imagination. The engagement of all stakeholders in sustained dialogue will be crucial, as will the imagination to think systemically, and beyond one’s own short-term institutional and national considerations.
These will be the two organizing principles of the World Economic Forum’s upcoming Annual Meeting in Davos-Klosters, which will convene under the theme of “Globalization 4.0: Shaping a New Architecture in the Age of the Fourth Industrial Revolution”. Ready or not, a new world is upon us.
Globalization 1.0-3.0 ended up with economic gains going to the Davos class.  Average people have been living under a new world where our voices do not matter and our pay does not go up.

Our elected officials cater to the David Rubensteins (Carlyle Group), the Stephen Schwarzmans (Blackstone Group), the David Bondermans (TPG Capital) and Leon Blacks (Apollo Global).  The PEU boys have spoken at Davos for at least ten years.    Six years ago Rubenstein, Schwarzman and Bonderman attended.  Nine years ago the group held off the removal of preferred carried interest taxation by U.S. elected officials.


The global governance architecture is led by the greed/leverage boys and a reformed Saudi Prince who jailed his relatives and ordered the execution of a U.S. based journalist.  The World Economic Forum highlighted Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at their 2018 gathering.

No one should trust this group.  Their desire for more power and money is clear. 

Sunday, December 30, 2018

Blackstone's Schwarzman Offers Magic Words on Leveraged Loans


Blackstone co-founder Stephen Schwarzman rewrote history on leveraged loans.  Blackstone purchased GSO Capital Partners in March 2008 before the fall financial crisis.Blackstone's leveraged loan portfolio has grown

Blackstone's 10-K  for FY 2018 calls into question Schwarman's assertion the firm had almost no losses from leveraged loans.

Blackstone's SEC filing stated "Leveraged loan prices dropped from an average of 94.4% at the end of 2007 to 62.3% at year-end 2008, reaching new lows."  The filing also noted:

Government intervention in the U.S., Europe and Asia continued in the fourth quarter and to date in 2009. Several financial and other institutions required government support in the form of guarantees or capital injections. Additionally, banks which have received Troubled Assets Relief Program (“TARP”) funds from the U.S. government are being encouraged to lend. Further, a stimulus package to be implemented in the U.S. in 2009 is intended to reverse the weak economic trends, including unemployment rate and a decline in consumer spending. 

Blackstone’s businesses are materially affected by conditions in the financial markets and economic conditions in the United States, Western Europe, Asia and to some extent elsewhere in the world. 
The situation will return when the greed and leverage boys no longer trust another to make good on their debts.  Blackstone's Credit AUM went from $138.1 billion for Q4 2017 to $130.6 billion for Q3 2018.  Has that process begun?

Friday, December 28, 2018

Apple Promotes PEU Supreme


Carlyle Group affiliate Supreme was front and center in Apple's holiday commercial.  I took the liberty of adding Carlyle's logo to the image.  Private equity underwriter (PEU) Carlyle purchased a 50% stake in Supreme, the cool street skater retailer.  Pitchbook noted Carlyle's $500 million investment occurred in the midst of numerous PEU retail bankruptcies.  Toys 'R Us imploded after being saddled with massive PEU debt. 

I'm sure the greed and leverage boys are grateful for the Supreme promotion.  How many hipster Supreme fans have grandparents in nursing homes?  They may want to review Carlyle's handling of ManorCare before they decide to enrich Supreme's owner any further. 

Sunday, December 9, 2018

Carlyle Trying to Rebuy Standard Aero from Veritas Capital


The Carlyle Group is one of three final bidders for Standard Aero, a company Carlyle owned from 2004 to 2007.  Carlyle sold Standard Aero and Landmark Aviation to Dubai Aerospace without a peep from Senator Chuck Schumer, a vocal opponent of the 2006 sale of U.S. port operations to Dubai Ports World.  That deal fell apart under public scrutiny.

Standard Aero's enterprise value grew tremendously the last fourteen years.  Moelis advised Dubai Aerospace on its 2015 sale of Standard Aero to Veritas Capital.  Former Congressman Eric Cantor joined Moelis in September 2014 and the firm touted his skills in advising international deals.


Standard Aero could be the latest air related company round tripped by Carlyle.  The Carlyle Group owned Vought Aircraft Industries and Landmark Aviation more than once.

Update 12-17-18:  SeekingAlpha picked up this story.

Update 4-7-19:  On April 5th Carlyle confirmed it had closed on Standard Aero.  Reuters noticed Carlyle round tripping Standard Aero in a more than $5 billion deal including debt.  Moody's cited leverage of mid 7x for the $5.31 billion deal.

Monday, December 3, 2018

Lux et Veritas: Carlyle Co-founder David Rubenstein to Speak at IU Graduation


Inside Indiana Business reported:

Indiana University Bloomington graduates will be addressed by the co-founder of one of the largest private equity firms in the country next month. Carlyle Group co-executive chairman David Rubenstein will speak at winter commencement in Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall.

"Indiana University is extremely pleased to welcome such a highly accomplished individual to campus to deliver our winter commencement address, and we look forward to him sharing his insights into business, education, philanthropy and leadership with our newest graduates", said IU President Michael McRobbie.  Winter commencement is set for 10 am December 15.
Rubenstein's ManorCare shunned an economic development offer from Indiana, instead accepting a $30 million package in September 2008 from Toledo/the state of Ohio to remain in the area.

Kentucky, Indiana, and Tennessee had offered generous incentives to entice HCR ManorCare to leave Toledo. 
Might David Rubenstein recap Carlyle's abysmal handling of ManorCare?   WaPo recently chronicled the negative impact of Carlyle's PEU ownership of the giant nursing home chain.  President George W. Bush's administration approved Carlyle's buyout of ManorCare in December 2007.  W. served on the board of Carlyle affiliate CaterAir from 1990-1994.

W.'s father served as paid advisor to Carlyle from 1998 to 2003.  Former President George H.W. Bush lent his credibility and reputation to Carlyle's Asia funds for a fee.  Bush senior retired "shortly after serving as the main draw at a dinner in Moscow to woo investors."  That's one benefit of Poppy's no gloating policy for Russian President Gorbachev.  He could return to sell The Carlyle Group to Russian investors.

Carlyle's ManorCare ownership harmed patient care, despite assurances from board member Gail Wilensky.  Wilensky directed the Medicare and Medicaid programs from 1990 to 1992 and served in the White House as a senior health and welfare adviser to President George H.W. Bush.

Indiana should be relieved that Carlyle kept ManorCare in Ohio for a $30 million subsidy.  Truth and light is Indiana University's motto.  The Carlyle Group has historically been at odds with both. 

Update 1-5-19:  Indiana Daily Student questioned Rubenstein's selection for graduation speaker. 

Thursday, November 1, 2018

Rubenstein Rehabs Founder Milk 'em on Bloomberg


Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein hosted convicted junk bond king Michael Milk 'em, the founder of "modern capital markets."

In April 1990, after four years of investigation and prosecution, Milken agreed to plead guilty to six charges of criminal violation of securities laws — technical violations, as opposed to the original 98-count indictment that charged him with conspiracy and insider trading — and to pay a $600 million fine. He paid an additional $500 million to Drexel's private investors who lost money when the firm was shuttered and then liquidated, also in 1990, in part as a result of Milken's wrongdoing. 

"You were willing to commit only crimes that were unlikely to be detected," U.S. District Judge Kimba Wood told him in November 1990 at his sentencing hearing. "When a man of your power in the financial world . . . repeatedly conspires to violate, and violates, securities and tax business in order to achieve more power and wealth for himself . . . a significant prison term is required." 
His ten year prison sentence was reduced to two years.  That was when financial criminals actually went to jail for short periods of time. 

On the Rubenstein show Milk 'em offered large doses of horse excrement.

"When things started coming from Japan in the 60's and 70's everyone said they were junk.  It's junk.  And all of a sudden we felt by the 80's the quality of their products and cars was better.  Everything coming out of China was junk.  The American public did not understand they were talking about themselves."  
Notice the "junk" frame which he used to distract from his junk bond crimes.  He then employed the classic move of blaming the victim, the self hating American people who might dare stand up to unethical billionaires like Rubenstein and himself.

Since the American people considered themselves junk, who came to the rescue?  Milk 'em could've cited the American hero who helped the Japanese manage for quality, Dr. W. Edwards Deming.  Nope.  Dr. Deming lambasted the corporate flippers of the world who used other people's money.  Corporate America turned to Dr. Deming in the 80's for lessons on quality.

The world's quality guru, Dr. W. Edwards Deming, spoke in 1984 about an economy without takeovers, without leveraged buyouts (LBO firms).  LBO morphed into private equity before exploding the last decade.  Greed is their constancy of purpose.
The Carlyle Group was established in 1984.  However, Milk 'em offered a different balm for the American people who rated themselves as junk.  It turns out he was their hero.

"60 million jobs have been created by non-investment grade companies  in the latter third of the twentieth century minus jobs being created by investment grade companies." 
Why doesn't Milk 'em cite huge job creation for the first fifteen years of the twenty first century?  Because modern capital structure prioritized massive interest costs over worker pay/benefit increases in company income statements.  It also drove down company tax burdens.  The LBO/PEU boys are happy to pay interest but not raises or taxes.  

To restore hope to America Milk 'em is creating the Center for the American Dream.  This is but the latest move in the Milk 'em Pardon Game.  Greed is good and billionaire President Donald Trump is just the man to remove any lingering stench from Michael Milk 'em.  


Both the Red and Blue political teams sold their souls to the greed/leverage boys in the 1990's.  Members of both political squads endorse the rehabbing of Micheal Milk 'em.  It's one thing our horrific leaders can do on a bi-partisan basis.

I think the American Dream, which is so unique, is a chance to succeed based on your ability, your willing to work hard, your knowledge, your insight - which is one of the most valuable qualities. Now I can't tell you how depressed I am that 26% of Americans under 30 think they will live a better life than their parents.   A long time ago it was 90% of Americans.  Why do they feel that way?
Milk 'em is back to blaming the victims of an economy rigged to reward the rich and politically connected.  The twenty first century rewarded the Rubensteins and Milkens, not the average American worker.


LBO-PEU killed the American dream and loaded the U.S. economy with trillions in junk debt.  A downturn will bankrupt many highly leveraged firms.  Micheal Milken could look in the mirror and see what his creation wrought.  That's not part of the PEU plan.

Update 11-2-18:  Republican Senator Ben Sasse cited loneliness as the problem for Americans, a slight variation on Milken's junking of the average citizen.  Sasse once worked for consultant McKinsey.  Did McKinsey come up with the junk and loneliness frames for use against the average citizen?

Update 9-28-21:  Milken got mention as a bad guy in 2010 for rumor mongering and naked short selling.